Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 52.4%). Look for Goc on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Goc 52.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Goc leads 11-9 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Goc 55.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 50.9%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 50.6%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 51.2%
48.8%
51.2%
MacKenzie
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
11
(20 meetings)
9
11
MacKenzie
Goc
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
4
MacKenzie
Goc
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
3
5
MacKenzie
Goc
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
2
MacKenzie
Goc
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
53.0% (3,301)
+1.9%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
58.0% (314)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
47.4% (728)
-0.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Goc
Home
54.0% (2,527)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
MacKenzie
Goc
P1
51.9%
51.9%
P2
53.0%
53.1%
P3
54.0%
52.4%
OT
65.7%
44.9%
Final 5 min
52.9%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2015 | 2 | 02:12 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 13:28 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Feb 15, 2015 | 1 | 08:23 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 03:39 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 13:48 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 05:58 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 13:59 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 09:36 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 15:01 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 1, 2014 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 1, 2014 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 2, 2011 | 1 | 06:42 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Dec 1, 2010 | OT | 04:00 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 11:57 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 2 | 01:32 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 17:19 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |