Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +18.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Olver shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.7% vs Olver 43.5% (+18.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 60.8%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 76.8%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 69.6%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 72.6%
72.6%
27.4%
MacKenzie
Olver
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
MacKenzie
Olver
Last 7: MacKenzie 4-3 Olver
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Olver
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
MacKenzie
Olver
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Olver
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (370)
35.3% (85)
+19.8%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
66.7% (3)
-11.1%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
0.0% (2)
+49.0%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +49.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Olver shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (293).
MacKenzie shoots left. Olver is 33.8% vs left-shot opponents (68).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Olver
Home
56.1% (228)
40.0% (50)
Away
52.7% (201)
31.7% (41)
By Period
MacKenzie
Olver
P1
53.4%
26.1%
P2
55.1%
40.6%
P3
53.9%
38.9%
Final 5 min
54.2%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.5%
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
36.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Mark Olver |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |