Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Olver shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Olver 43.0% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 54.6%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 91.0%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 75.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 78.8%
78.8%
21.2%
MacKenzie
Olver
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
MacKenzie
Olver
Last 10: MacKenzie 6-4 Olver
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Olver
0
1
MacKenzie
Olver
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
1
MacKenzie
Olver
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
3
MacKenzie
Olver
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Olver
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
40.3% (236)
+14.6%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
53.3% (15)
+2.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
0.0% (5)
+46.7%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +46.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Olver shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Olver is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (183).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Olver
Home
54.0% (2,527)
39.4% (132)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
41.3% (126)
By Period
MacKenzie
Olver
P1
51.9%
37.8%
P2
53.0%
41.3%
P3
54.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
52.9%
42.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Mark Olver |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 3 | 10:02 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 13:31 | Defensive | Mark Olver |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 2 | 01:25 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 1, 2012 | 1 | 04:35 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Feb 24, 2012 | 1 | 08:35 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |