Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +17.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 59.4% vs left-shot opponents — Olver shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 57.2% vs Olver 45.0% (+17.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Olver 52.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 85.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 75.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 71.6%
71.6%
28.4%
MacKenzie
Olver
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
MacKenzie
Olver
Last 5: MacKenzie 3-2 Olver
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Olver
0
1
MacKenzie
Olver
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Olver
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Olver
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Olver
Edge
Even Strength
61.0% (264)
40.9% (132)
+20.1%
Power Play
100.0% (4)
62.5% (8)
+37.5%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (55)
0.0% (2)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Olver shoots left. MacKenzie is 59.4% vs left-shot opponents (234).
MacKenzie shoots left. Olver is 37.0% vs left-shot opponents (100).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Olver
Home
62.1% (145)
38.2% (76)
Away
57.3% (178)
45.5% (66)
By Period
MacKenzie
Olver
P1
51.6%
42.3%
P2
59.8%
43.1%
P3
65.8%
38.5%
Final 5 min
54.8%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
59.4%
Olver
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 06:40 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 3 | 06:29 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 11:19 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 2 | 03:50 | Neutral | Mark Olver |
| Jan 24, 2013 | 1 | 11:31 | Offensive | Mark Olver |