Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Peca shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Peca 47.7% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 57.3%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 92.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 79.2%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 89.9%
89.9%
10.1%
MacKenzie
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
MacKenzie
Peca
Last 5: MacKenzie 5-0 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
0
MacKenzie
Peca
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Peca
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
44.9% (69)
+7.6%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
50.0% (2)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
0.0% (1)
+41.7%
On penalty kill, MacKenzie has a +41.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
MacKenzie shoots left. Peca is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (48).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Peca
Home
52.7% (404)
44.1% (59)
Away
47.0% (368)
46.2% (13)
By Period
MacKenzie
Peca
P1
50.0%
63.6%
P2
50.0%
31.8%
P3
49.4%
39.3%
Final 5 min
55.0%
28.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |