Derek MacKenzie vs Matthew Peca
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Peca shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Peca 50.2% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 71.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 89.3%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 79.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 87.2%
87.2%
12.8%
MacKenzie
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
MacKenzie
Peca
Last 5: MacKenzie 5-0 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
0
MacKenzie
Peca
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Peca
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
51.5% (423)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
12.5% (8)
+43.4%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
44.2% (43)
+2.5%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +43.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Peca
Home
54.0% (2,527)
46.1% (193)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
53.0% (281)
By Period
MacKenzie
Peca
P1
51.9%
56.6%
P2
53.0%
44.4%
P3
54.0%
50.3%
OT
65.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2017 | 3 | 11:04 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 2 | 13:22 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 19:13 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 11, 2017 | 1 | 04:27 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |