Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Domi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Domi 48.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 50.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 91.9%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 83.1%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 82.1%
82.1%
17.9%
MacKenzie
Domi
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
MacKenzie
Domi
Last 6: MacKenzie 5-1 Domi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Domi
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Domi
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Domi
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Domi
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
48.1% (4,296)
+6.8%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
53.4% (633)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
48.8% (41)
-2.1%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Domi shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (3,341).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Domi
Home
54.0% (2,527)
49.7% (2,604)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
47.8% (2,366)
By Period
MacKenzie
Domi
P1
51.9%
48.7%
P2
53.0%
48.3%
P3
54.0%
49.8%
OT
65.7%
43.5%
Final 5 min
52.9%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 17:41 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 3 | 03:37 | Neutral | Max Domi |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 05:21 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 2 | 05:14 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 07:33 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 19, 2017 | 1 | 04:28 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |