Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.7% vs Talbot 48.8% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Talbot 59.5%
Defensive zone
Talbot 74.6%
Neutral zone
Talbot 62.7%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
MacKenzie
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
MacKenzie
Talbot
Last 7: MacKenzie 2-5 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Talbot
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
2
MacKenzie
Talbot
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
2
MacKenzie
Talbot
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (384)
50.5% (642)
+1.3%
Power Play
50.0% (24)
33.3% (18)
+16.7%
Penalty Kill
52.5% (61)
43.5% (207)
+9.0%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (323).
MacKenzie shoots left. Talbot is 47.8% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Talbot
Home
51.7% (232)
49.9% (427)
Away
52.3% (241)
47.4% (447)
By Period
MacKenzie
Talbot
P1
47.9%
48.4%
P2
51.8%
48.5%
P3
55.4%
48.8%
OT
100.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.5%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.0%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 1 | 12:55 | Neutral | Max Talbot |