Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Talbot on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 12 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Talbot 47.0% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Talbot leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Talbot 64.1%
Defensive zone
Talbot 65.4%
Neutral zone
Talbot 64.9%
Result
Max Talbot favored at 64.7%
35.3%
64.7%
MacKenzie
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
12
(21 meetings)
9
12
MacKenzie
Talbot
Last 10: MacKenzie 4-6 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
2
MacKenzie
Talbot
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Talbot
0
2
MacKenzie
Talbot
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Talbot
4
8
MacKenzie
Talbot
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
48.3% (1,738)
+6.6%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
49.0% (51)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
42.3% (631)
+4.4%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Talbot is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,539).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Talbot
Home
54.0% (2,527)
48.0% (1,219)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
45.8% (1,215)
By Period
MacKenzie
Talbot
P1
51.9%
48.7%
P2
53.0%
43.5%
P3
54.0%
48.6%
OT
65.7%
45.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
46.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
46.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 13:39 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 11:35 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 12, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 13:25 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 2 | 01:52 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Jan 15, 2015 | 1 | 02:11 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Apr 1, 2014 | 3 | 07:10 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 15:20 | Offensive | Max Talbot |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 3 | 12:06 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Feb 8, 2011 | 1 | 06:07 | Neutral | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 3 | 08:55 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 19:36 | Defensive | Max Talbot |
| Dec 4, 2010 | 2 | 17:40 | Offensive | Max Talbot |