Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +10.1% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Talbot shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.7% vs Talbot 45.1% (+10.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 89.3%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 71.8%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 85.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
MacKenzie
Talbot
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
MacKenzie
Talbot
Last 5: MacKenzie 4-1 Talbot
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Talbot
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Talbot
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Talbot
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (370)
45.1% (450)
+10.0%
Power Play
55.6% (9)
50.0% (20)
+5.6%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (49)
40.5% (163)
+8.5%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Talbot shoots left. MacKenzie is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (293).
MacKenzie shoots left. Talbot is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Talbot
Home
56.1% (228)
47.8% (295)
Away
52.7% (201)
41.4% (345)
By Period
MacKenzie
Talbot
P1
53.4%
47.0%
P2
55.1%
41.5%
P3
53.9%
44.5%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
46.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.5%
Talbot
46.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 17:30 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 3 | 13:53 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 15:08 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 5, 2011 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Max Talbot |