Derek MacKenzie vs Michael McCarron
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 51.8% vs McCarron 49.3% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 56.5%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 70.8%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 59.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
MacKenzie
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
3
(7 meetings)
4
3
MacKenzie
McCarron
Last 7: MacKenzie 4-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
McCarron
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
2
MacKenzie
McCarron
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
1
MacKenzie
McCarron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (438)
48.8% (121)
+6.9%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
50.0% (2)
+30.0%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. MacKenzie is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (265).
MacKenzie shoots left. McCarron is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (91).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
McCarron
Home
51.3% (312)
51.7% (60)
Away
52.9% (293)
46.0% (63)
By Period
MacKenzie
McCarron
P1
50.5%
50.0%
P2
48.8%
40.9%
P3
57.4%
56.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
52.1%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |