Derek MacKenzie vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 52.8%). Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs McCarron 52.7% (+0.3%)
H2H factor
McCarron leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 65.1%
Defensive zone
McCarron 53.6%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 53.7%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
MacKenzie
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
MacKenzie
McCarron
Last 10: MacKenzie 5-5 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
0
MacKenzie
McCarron
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
1
3
MacKenzie
McCarron
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
MacKenzie
McCarron
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
53.4% (2,901)
+1.5%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
45.3% (86)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
50.5% (463)
-3.8%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. MacKenzie is 50.3% vs right-shot opponents (1,828).
MacKenzie shoots left. McCarron is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (2,403).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
McCarron
Home
54.0% (2,527)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
53.3% (1,754)
By Period
MacKenzie
McCarron
P1
51.9%
53.9%
P2
53.0%
52.5%
P3
54.0%
52.0%
OT
65.7%
33.3%
Final 5 min
52.9%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
McCarron
48.0%▬
48.5%
52.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2018 | 3 | 19:54 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 2 | 03:39 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 05:33 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 19, 2018 | 1 | 02:21 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 24, 2017 | 1 | 09:46 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Dec 29, 2016 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 2 | 07:56 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 2, 2016 | 1 | 08:52 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |