Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kadri shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Kadri 48.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 57.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 86.9%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 68.9%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
MacKenzie
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
MacKenzie
Kadri
Last 10: MacKenzie 6-4 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
2
MacKenzie
Kadri
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
1
MacKenzie
Kadri
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
MacKenzie
Kadri
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
48.2% (12,510)
+6.7%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
53.0% (1,892)
+2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
41.0% (293)
+5.7%
On even strength, MacKenzie has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Kadri is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (9,379).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Kadri
Home
54.0% (2,527)
49.1% (7,467)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
48.1% (7,231)
By Period
MacKenzie
Kadri
P1
51.9%
49.2%
P2
53.0%
48.8%
P3
54.0%
48.0%
OT
65.7%
49.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Kadri
36.0%▼
39.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2018 | 3 | 02:09 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 17, 2016 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 26, 2016 | 2 | 14:54 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:43 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 17, 2015 | 2 | 06:12 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 3 | 18:02 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 2 | 04:40 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 1 | 07:13 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Dec 28, 2014 | 1 | 04:05 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 3, 2014 | 3 | 15:26 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 3, 2014 | 3 | 00:09 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 3, 2014 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |