Derek MacKenzie vs Nick Spaling
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Spaling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Spaling 49.9% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Spaling leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Spaling 52.7%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 55.4%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 50.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 51.0%
51.0%
49.0%
MacKenzie
Spaling
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
MacKenzie
Spaling
Last 10: MacKenzie 6-4 Spaling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
3
MacKenzie
Spaling
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Spaling
2
3
MacKenzie
Spaling
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
4
2
MacKenzie
Spaling
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Spaling
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
50.5% (2,263)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
43.4% (53)
+12.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
48.0% (498)
-1.3%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spaling shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Spaling is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,835).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Spaling
Home
54.0% (2,527)
51.9% (1,437)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
47.8% (1,378)
By Period
MacKenzie
Spaling
P1
51.9%
49.8%
P2
53.0%
48.3%
P3
54.0%
52.0%
OT
65.7%
40.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Spaling
58.0%▲
53.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2016 | 3 | 19:49 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 4, 2013 | 2 | 12:14 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 23, 2013 | 2 | 16:36 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Mar 19, 2013 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 07:34 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:44 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 2 | 04:53 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Jan 23, 2012 | 1 | 09:55 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 8, 2011 | 1 | 17:03 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Nov 19, 2011 | 2 | 16:33 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:48 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Feb 22, 2011 | 3 | 02:34 | Defensive | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Nick Spaling |
| Dec 1, 2010 | 2 | 03:09 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 09:37 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 22, 2010 | 1 | 02:49 | Offensive | Nick Spaling |