Derek MacKenzie vs Paul Gaustad
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Paul Gaustad holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Gaustad shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Gaustad 57.6% (-4.6%)
H2H factor
Gaustad leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 74.6%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 56.5%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 53.7%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
MacKenzie
Gaustad
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
MacKenzie
Gaustad
Last 10: MacKenzie 5-5 Gaustad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
1
MacKenzie
Gaustad
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
3
MacKenzie
Gaustad
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaustad
1
4
MacKenzie
Gaustad
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Gaustad
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
58.2% (4,334)
-3.3%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
65.4% (188)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
54.8% (1,290)
-8.1%
On power play, Gaustad has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaustad shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Gaustad is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,774).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Gaustad
Home
54.0% (2,527)
59.5% (2,929)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
55.9% (2,897)
By Period
MacKenzie
Gaustad
P1
51.9%
58.2%
P2
53.0%
56.4%
P3
54.0%
58.3%
OT
65.7%
66.0%
Final 5 min
52.9%
57.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Gaustad
44.0%▼
51.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2016 | 3 | 07:59 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 10:32 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 10:24 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Feb 13, 2016 | 2 | 07:01 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 16:00 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 8, 2015 | 2 | 07:06 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 22, 2014 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 3 | 00:11 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 17:08 | Offensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:02 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:40 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 04:47 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Nov 25, 2011 | 3 | 06:40 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Oct 27, 2011 | 1 | 07:26 | Defensive | Paul Gaustad |
| Apr 9, 2011 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Paul Gaustad |