Derek MacKenzie vs Sergey Kalinin
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 54.3% vs Kalinin 43.6% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 76.4%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 94.6%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 91.0%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 84.3%
84.3%
15.7%
MacKenzie
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
MacKenzie
Kalinin
Last 6: MacKenzie 5-1 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Kalinin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Kalinin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Kalinin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (523)
42.3% (298)
+13.5%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
29.4% (17)
+23.0%
Penalty Kill
52.9% (257)
42.9% (7)
+10.0%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +23.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. MacKenzie is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (494).
MacKenzie shoots left. Kalinin is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (225).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Kalinin
Home
54.4% (463)
42.8% (173)
Away
55.3% (338)
40.3% (149)
By Period
MacKenzie
Kalinin
P1
54.2%
39.8%
P2
54.0%
44.1%
P3
56.7%
40.2%
Final 5 min
52.6%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
54.8%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |