Derek MacKenzie vs Sergey Kalinin
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Derek MacKenzie holds a +11.6% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Kalinin 43.0% (+11.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKenzie 79.1%
Defensive zone
MacKenzie 94.7%
Neutral zone
MacKenzie 91.3%
Result
Derek MacKenzie favored at 85.8%
85.8%
14.2%
MacKenzie
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
MacKenzie
Kalinin
Last 6: MacKenzie 5-1 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
1
MacKenzie
Kalinin
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Kalinin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
2
0
MacKenzie
Kalinin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
41.9% (453)
+13.0%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
33.3% (18)
+22.6%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
40.0% (25)
+6.7%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +22.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Kalinin is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Kalinin
Home
54.0% (2,527)
42.8% (285)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
39.8% (211)
By Period
MacKenzie
Kalinin
P1
51.9%
43.8%
P2
53.0%
40.6%
P3
54.0%
40.1%
Final 5 min
52.9%
37.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2016 | 3 | 12:39 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 19:20 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 31, 2016 | 1 | 18:54 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 3 | 07:11 | Offensive | Sergey Kalinin |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 6, 2015 | 1 | 14:01 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |