Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). MacKenzie wins 53.5% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 50.0% vs Ott 53.7% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ott 83.0%
Defensive zone
Ott 57.3%
Neutral zone
Ott 64.0%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 72.4%
27.6%
72.4%
MacKenzie
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
MacKenzie
Ott
Last 6: MacKenzie 5-1 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
0
MacKenzie
Ott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
1
0
MacKenzie
Ott
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
52.5% (564)
58.2% (208)
-5.7%
Power Play
77.8% (9)
50.0% (4)
+27.8%
Penalty Kill
41.7% (199)
45.5% (66)
-3.8%
On power play, MacKenzie has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. MacKenzie is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (467).
MacKenzie shoots left. Ott is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (144).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Ott
Home
52.7% (404)
53.5% (101)
Away
47.0% (368)
55.9% (177)
By Period
MacKenzie
Ott
P1
50.0%
57.0%
P2
50.0%
57.7%
P3
49.4%
48.6%
Final 5 min
55.0%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
50.0%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |