Scouting Report
Steve Ott holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for MacKenzie on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). MacKenzie wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Ott shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
MacKenzie 53.0% vs Ott 55.4% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
MacKenzie leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ott 73.2%
Defensive zone
Ott 66.9%
Neutral zone
Ott 66.6%
Result
Steve Ott favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
MacKenzie
Ott
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
MacKenzie
Ott
Last 10: MacKenzie 8-2 Ott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
5
0
MacKenzie
Ott
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: MacKenzie
3
2
MacKenzie
Ott
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
MacKenzie
Ott
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
MacKenzie
Ott
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (3,660)
57.2% (2,802)
-2.3%
Power Play
55.9% (102)
55.4% (567)
+0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.7% (1,158)
49.9% (853)
-3.2%
On penalty kill, Ott has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Ott shoots left. MacKenzie is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,097).
MacKenzie shoots left. Ott is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,552).
Home / Away
MacKenzie
Ott
Home
54.0% (2,527)
56.8% (2,130)
Away
52.1% (2,398)
54.2% (2,103)
By Period
MacKenzie
Ott
P1
51.9%
56.7%
P2
53.0%
53.9%
P3
54.0%
55.7%
OT
65.7%
60.8%
Final 5 min
52.9%
56.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
MacKenzie
56.0%▲
53.5%
53.1%
Ott
60.0%▲
53.0%
55.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 3, 2017 | 3 | 12:04 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 3, 2017 | 1 | 06:24 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 3 | 17:09 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 10:47 | Neutral | Steve Ott |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 10:41 | Neutral | Derek MacKenzie |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 02:59 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 2 | 17:19 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Dec 8, 2014 | 2 | 17:11 | Defensive | Steve Ott |
| Dec 29, 2011 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Apr 5, 2011 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 01:51 | Defensive | Derek MacKenzie |
| Feb 13, 2011 | 1 | 01:43 | Defensive | Steve Ott |