Scouting Report
Blair Jones holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Jones on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jones 51.7% vs Roy 46.2% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Jones leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Jones 55.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 54.0%
Neutral zone
Jones 69.0%
Result
Blair Jones favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Jones
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
4
(10 meetings)
6
4
Jones
Roy
Last 10: Jones 6-4 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
0
2
Jones
Roy
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Jones
Roy
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Jones
4
0
Jones
Roy
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jones
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (97)
45.3% (506)
+10.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
57.4% (68)
+42.6%
Penalty Kill
27.3% (11)
37.0% (73)
-9.7%
On power play, Jones has a +42.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots left. Jones is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (82).
Jones shoots right. Roy is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Jones
Roy
Home
52.5% (59)
44.9% (354)
Away
54.0% (50)
46.4% (293)
By Period
Jones
Roy
P1
62.9%
47.0%
P2
41.0%
47.2%
P3
57.1%
42.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jones
42.0%▼
50.5%
53.2%
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 17:27 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 3 | 01:14 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 2 | 14:57 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 16:17 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Apr 10, 2013 | 1 | 11:27 | Neutral | Blair Jones |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 3 | 17:08 | Defensive | Blair Jones |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 2 | 09:19 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Blair Jones |