Scouting Report
Eric Staal holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Staal 50.6% (-3.2%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 16-5 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Staal 66.5%
Defensive zone
Staal 62.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 74.1%
Result
Eric Staal favored at 65.6%
34.4%
65.6%
Roy
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
5
(21 meetings)
16
5
Roy
Staal
Last 10: Roy 7-3 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
7
1
Roy
Staal
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
6
4
Roy
Staal
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Staal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
50.5% (10,347)
-4.1%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
53.5% (2,023)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
44.2% (781)
+2.6%
On even strength, Staal has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Staal is 50.5% vs left-shot opponents (8,336).
Home / Away
Roy
Staal
Home
49.5% (1,982)
52.6% (6,558)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
48.6% (6,664)
By Period
Roy
Staal
P1
47.6%
50.0%
P2
46.2%
51.1%
P3
48.5%
50.4%
OT
43.1%
55.2%
Final 5 min
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Staal
44.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2013 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 13:30 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 05:08 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 3 | 02:37 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 02:53 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 2 | 00:33 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 18:20 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 06:06 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Eric Staal |
| Mar 7, 2012 | 1 | 03:06 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 6, 2012 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Eric Staal |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 19:16 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 17:07 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 11:44 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 3 | 08:39 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 2 | 17:49 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 2 | 07:59 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 14, 2011 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Derek Roy |