Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.4% vs 46.7%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Vilardi 46.9% (+0.7%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 51.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 58.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.2%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Roy
Vilardi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
45.8% (1,053)
+0.6%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
51.3% (195)
+2.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
48.1% (27)
-1.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Vilardi is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Home / Away
Roy
Vilardi
Home
49.5% (1,982)
47.2% (659)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
46.1% (616)
By Period
Roy
Vilardi
P1
47.6%
49.6%
P2
46.2%
43.7%
P3
48.5%
46.8%
OT
43.1%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Vilardi
40.0%▼
43.5%
46.7%