Scouting Report
Jarome Iginla holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Iginla 50.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Iginla 64.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 66.2%
Neutral zone
Iginla 50.2%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Roy
Iginla
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Roy
Iginla
Last 5: Roy 3-2 Iginla
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Iginla
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Iginla
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Iginla
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Iginla
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
51.1% (994)
-4.7%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
49.7% (366)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
33.3% (36)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Iginla shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Iginla is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,104).
Home / Away
Roy
Iginla
Home
49.5% (1,982)
54.6% (694)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
46.1% (709)
By Period
Roy
Iginla
P1
47.6%
52.9%
P2
46.2%
47.6%
P3
48.5%
51.7%
OT
43.1%
34.1%
Final 5 min
47.0%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Iginla
44.0%▼
49.5%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2015 | 1 | 01:49 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 17, 2013 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 3 | 11:00 | Defensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Feb 13, 2013 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Jarome Iginla |
| Nov 4, 2011 | 2 | 11:30 | Offensive | Derek Roy |