Scouting Report
Jarret Stoll holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stoll on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 20 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Stoll 55.0% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Stoll leads 26-18 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 85.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 82.0%
Neutral zone
Roy 88.8%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 84.9%
84.9%
15.1%
Roy
Stoll
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
26
(44 meetings)
18
26
Roy
Stoll
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Stoll
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
6
5
Roy
Stoll
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stoll
4
16
Roy
Stoll
20 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
8
5
Roy
Stoll
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Stoll
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
56.0% (4,886)
-9.6%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
56.5% (496)
-2.9%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
50.7% (1,087)
-3.9%
On even strength, Stoll has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stoll shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Stoll is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,540).
Home / Away
Roy
Stoll
Home
49.5% (1,982)
57.2% (3,285)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
53.0% (3,218)
By Period
Roy
Stoll
P1
47.6%
54.2%
P2
46.2%
55.8%
P3
48.5%
55.3%
OT
43.1%
52.7%
Final 5 min
47.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Stoll
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:19 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 3 | 01:10 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 2 | 13:31 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Apr 2, 2015 | 1 | 08:13 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 3 | 19:28 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:27 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:22 | Offensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 3, 2015 | 1 | 07:48 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 17:35 | Neutral | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Dec 30, 2014 | 2 | 13:17 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 16, 2014 | 3 | 02:04 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 3 | 01:18 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 2 | 07:30 | Defensive | Jarret Stoll |
| Jan 2, 2014 | 1 | 10:06 | Neutral | Derek Roy |