Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.0% vs Arnott 50.2% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 60.5%
Defensive zone
Roy 61.9%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.4%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 61.3%
61.3%
38.7%
Roy
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
9
(9 meetings)
0
9
Roy
Arnott
Last 9: Roy 0-9 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
1
Roy
Arnott
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
5
Roy
Arnott
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
3
Roy
Arnott
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (380)
49.0% (777)
-5.1%
Power Play
52.8% (106)
58.1% (93)
-5.3%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
30.0% (10)
+25.3%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +25.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Roy is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Roy shoots left. Arnott is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Roy
Arnott
Home
51.6% (283)
51.1% (460)
Away
40.4% (245)
49.3% (434)
By Period
Roy
Arnott
P1
47.8%
45.3%
P2
41.1%
54.2%
P3
49.7%
49.8%
OT
41.7%
66.7%
Final 5 min
42.4%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10, 2010 | OT | 00:02 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |