Scouting Report
Jason Arnott holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Arnott on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Arnott 50.3% (-2.9%)
H2H factor
Arnott leads 11-1 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Arnott 50.1%
Defensive zone
Roy 58.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 57.9%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Roy
Arnott
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
11
(12 meetings)
1
11
Roy
Arnott
Last 10: Roy 1-9 Arnott
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
3
Roy
Arnott
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Arnott
0
5
Roy
Arnott
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Arnott
1
3
Roy
Arnott
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Arnott
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
49.7% (1,444)
-3.3%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
53.8% (182)
-0.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
40.0% (15)
+6.8%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +6.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arnott shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Arnott is 51.4% vs left-shot opponents (1,175).
Home / Away
Roy
Arnott
Home
49.5% (1,982)
52.1% (891)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
48.2% (772)
By Period
Roy
Arnott
P1
47.6%
46.1%
P2
46.2%
53.6%
P3
48.5%
50.1%
OT
43.1%
71.4%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Arnott
50.0%▬
50.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2012 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 19:07 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Jan 21, 2012 | 2 | 10:43 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 10, 2010 | OT | 00:02 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Nov 10, 2010 | 2 | 05:22 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 17:33 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 14:16 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 3 | 14:05 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 11:05 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 2 | 00:30 | Neutral | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 23, 2010 | 1 | 07:58 | Defensive | Jason Arnott |
| Oct 13, 2010 | 3 | 19:39 | Offensive | Jason Arnott |