Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Beagle 55.2% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 69.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 60.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 61.5%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 64.1%
64.1%
35.9%
Roy
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Roy
Beagle
Last 6: Roy 2-4 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
2
Roy
Beagle
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
1
2
Roy
Beagle
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
60.7% (173)
-10.4%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
25.0% (4)
+28.3%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
44.1% (34)
+7.0%
On power play, Roy has a +28.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Roy is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Roy shoots left. Beagle is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (145).
Home / Away
Roy
Beagle
Home
52.4% (683)
58.3% (115)
Away
48.6% (646)
57.0% (100)
By Period
Roy
Beagle
P1
48.3%
57.1%
P2
49.5%
55.6%
P3
53.9%
62.1%
OT
48.4%
42.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
57.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |