Scouting Report
Jay Beagle holds a +9.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Beagle on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Beagle 56.7% (-9.4%)
H2H factor
Beagle leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 89.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 77.0%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Roy
Beagle
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
8
(12 meetings)
4
8
Roy
Beagle
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Beagle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Beagle
0
3
Roy
Beagle
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Beagle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Beagle
3
5
Roy
Beagle
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Beagle
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
57.5% (4,994)
-11.1%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
60.5% (119)
-6.9%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
54.2% (1,554)
-7.4%
On even strength, Beagle has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Beagle shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Beagle is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (4,667).
Home / Away
Roy
Beagle
Home
49.5% (1,982)
59.1% (3,228)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
54.5% (3,443)
By Period
Roy
Beagle
P1
47.6%
57.4%
P2
46.2%
57.1%
P3
48.5%
56.2%
OT
43.1%
41.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Beagle
50.0%▼
53.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 06:38 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 16:08 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 13:58 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 02:39 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 1 | 12:39 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 2 | 05:34 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 13:25 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 06:45 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 01:51 | Offensive | Jay Beagle |
| Mar 27, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jay Beagle |