Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs O'Brien 48.0% (+3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 70.6%
Defensive zone
Roy 59.1%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.5%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 62.2%
62.2%
37.8%
Roy
O'Brien
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Roy
O'Brien
Last 5: Roy 3-2 O'Brien
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
O'Brien
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Brien
0
1
Roy
O'Brien
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
O'Brien
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
O'Brien
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
48.9% (180)
+1.4%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
40.0% (5)
+13.3%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
44.8% (67)
+6.3%
On power play, Roy has a +13.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Brien shoots right. Roy is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Roy shoots left. O'Brien is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Roy
O'Brien
Home
52.4% (683)
46.8% (139)
Away
48.6% (646)
47.9% (117)
By Period
Roy
O'Brien
P1
48.3%
51.6%
P2
49.5%
46.1%
P3
53.9%
41.9%
OT
48.4%
100.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
41.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
O'Brien
46.0%▼
48.0%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 10, 2012 | OT | 03:53 | Defensive | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 11:07 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 11:05 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 2 | 09:28 | Neutral | Jim O'Brien |
| Mar 10, 2012 | 1 | 06:46 | Offensive | Derek Roy |