Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Roy wins 43.7% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Mitchell 50.8% (-6.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mitchell 52.8%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 81.0%
Neutral zone
Mitchell 69.5%
Result
John Mitchell favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Roy
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Roy
Mitchell
Last 6: Roy 4-2 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
1
Roy
Mitchell
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
0
1
Roy
Mitchell
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Mitchell
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
51.2% (666)
-6.4%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
45.5% (22)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
48.9% (47)
-6.0%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Roy is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (545).
Roy shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Roy
Mitchell
Home
45.8% (421)
51.7% (360)
Away
43.9% (488)
50.1% (375)
By Period
Roy
Mitchell
P1
44.9%
50.2%
P2
43.6%
49.4%
P3
46.4%
51.9%
OT
35.3%
75.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | OT | 01:50 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Derek Roy |