Scouting Report
John Mitchell holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Mitchell on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Mitchell shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Mitchell 51.0% (-3.6%)
H2H factor
Mitchell leads 10-7 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 74.2%
Defensive zone
Mitchell 53.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.5%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Roy
Mitchell
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
10
(17 meetings)
7
10
Roy
Mitchell
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Mitchell
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
3
5
Roy
Mitchell
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Mitchell
1
4
Roy
Mitchell
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Mitchell
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Mitchell
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
51.8% (2,965)
-5.4%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
54.1% (196)
-0.5%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
44.1% (401)
+2.7%
On even strength, Mitchell has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mitchell shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Mitchell is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,298).
Home / Away
Roy
Mitchell
Home
49.5% (1,982)
54.4% (1,806)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
47.6% (1,756)
By Period
Roy
Mitchell
P1
47.6%
52.0%
P2
46.2%
49.9%
P3
48.5%
50.9%
OT
43.1%
69.2%
Final 5 min
47.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Mitchell
66.0%▲
56.5%
51.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2015 | OT | 01:50 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 3 | 05:46 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 18:08 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 11:40 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 2, 2015 | 1 | 17:01 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 8, 2014 | 2 | 04:22 | Neutral | John Mitchell |
| Nov 27, 2013 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 14, 2013 | 3 | 00:49 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 16:40 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Mar 23, 2012 | 1 | 02:50 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Dec 10, 2011 | 1 | 01:54 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 01:40 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 2 | 04:59 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 10:03 | Defensive | John Mitchell |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 1 | 04:24 | Offensive | Derek Roy |