Scouting Report
Jori Lehtera holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Lehtera on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Lehtera shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Lehtera 50.7% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 51.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 58.3%
Neutral zone
Roy 53.9%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 55.3%
55.3%
44.7%
Roy
Lehtera
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
7
(8 meetings)
1
7
Roy
Lehtera
Last 8: Roy 1-7 Lehtera
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
1
2
Roy
Lehtera
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
4
Roy
Lehtera
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lehtera
0
1
Roy
Lehtera
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Lehtera
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
50.4% (2,714)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
55.8% (339)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
41.3% (104)
+5.5%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lehtera shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Lehtera is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,033).
Home / Away
Roy
Lehtera
Home
49.5% (1,982)
53.7% (1,668)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
47.4% (1,489)
By Period
Roy
Lehtera
P1
47.6%
53.2%
P2
46.2%
50.6%
P3
48.5%
48.1%
OT
43.1%
54.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Lehtera
42.0%▼
56.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2015 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 02:46 | Offensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Jan 13, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 06:34 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 13, 2014 | 1 | 03:59 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 3 | 08:24 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 2 | 08:00 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |
| Nov 8, 2014 | 1 | 05:59 | Defensive | Jori Lehtera |