Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Brodziak 49.5% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 75.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 50.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 59.2%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 58.9%
58.9%
41.1%
Roy
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Roy
Brodziak
Last 6: Roy 4-2 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Brodziak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Brodziak
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
49.3% (1,064)
+1.0%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
53.3% (105)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
47.5% (242)
+3.6%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Roy is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Roy shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,032).
Home / Away
Roy
Brodziak
Home
52.4% (683)
47.8% (711)
Away
48.6% (646)
51.1% (718)
By Period
Roy
Brodziak
P1
48.3%
46.0%
P2
49.5%
52.6%
P3
53.9%
50.1%
OT
48.4%
40.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 19:22 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 12:37 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 19:05 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 12:33 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 18:54 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |