Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 15 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Brodziak 49.7% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 24-12 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 66.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 87.8%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 66.9%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 61.9%
38.1%
61.9%
Roy
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
24
-
12
(36 meetings)
24
12
Roy
Brodziak
Last 10: Roy 6-4 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
12
3
Roy
Brodziak
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
8
7
Roy
Brodziak
15 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
2
Roy
Brodziak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
50.5% (6,432)
-4.1%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
52.8% (326)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
45.5% (1,344)
+1.3%
On even strength, Brodziak has a +4.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Brodziak is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,811).
Home / Away
Roy
Brodziak
Home
49.5% (1,982)
50.4% (4,044)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
49.0% (4,089)
By Period
Roy
Brodziak
P1
47.6%
49.2%
P2
46.2%
50.7%
P3
48.5%
49.5%
OT
43.1%
42.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 07:37 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 3 | 07:21 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 25, 2013 | 3 | 13:33 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:10 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Derek Roy |