Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 46.2% vs Brodziak 49.5% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 14-6 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 52.3%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 64.0%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 70.9%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 60.4%
39.6%
60.4%
Roy
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
14
-
6
(20 meetings)
14
6
Roy
Brodziak
Last 10: Roy 8-2 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
6
1
Roy
Brodziak
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
4
3
Roy
Brodziak
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
2
Roy
Brodziak
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (506)
49.1% (601)
-3.8%
Power Play
57.4% (68)
60.4% (53)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
45.9% (109)
-8.9%
On penalty kill, Brodziak has a +8.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Roy is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Roy shoots left. Brodziak is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (563).
Home / Away
Roy
Brodziak
Home
44.9% (354)
50.5% (374)
Away
46.4% (293)
48.3% (389)
By Period
Roy
Brodziak
P1
47.0%
49.1%
P2
47.2%
51.8%
P3
42.5%
46.6%
OT
50.0%
62.5%
Final 5 min
41.4%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
45.6%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 19:42 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 13:25 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 09:37 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 12:42 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 2 | 00:40 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 1 | 05:19 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:10 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 18:59 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 18:50 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 08:12 | Neutral | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 3 | 05:04 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 15:00 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 06:18 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 00:59 | Defensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 20, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |