Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Roy wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Brodziak 49.3% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 66.2%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 83.2%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 62.8%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Roy
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Roy
Brodziak
Last 7: Roy 5-2 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
2
Roy
Brodziak
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Brodziak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
49.3% (538)
-4.5%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
22.2% (9)
+22.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
50.7% (140)
-7.8%
On power play, Roy has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Roy is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Roy shoots left. Brodziak is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (491).
Home / Away
Roy
Brodziak
Home
45.8% (421)
50.0% (310)
Away
43.9% (488)
48.5% (377)
By Period
Roy
Brodziak
P1
44.9%
49.5%
P2
43.6%
53.0%
P3
46.4%
44.7%
OT
35.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
55.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 12:15 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 17:56 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 06:25 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 04:05 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 01:38 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:37 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 16:13 | Offensive | Derek Roy |