Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Goc 51.5% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 13-6 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 68.0%
Defensive zone
Goc 53.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 56.3%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Roy
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
6
(19 meetings)
13
6
Roy
Goc
Last 10: Roy 8-2 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
9
1
Roy
Goc
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
3
Roy
Goc
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Goc
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
52.3% (727)
-2.0%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
63.8% (69)
-10.5%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
44.0% (159)
+7.1%
On power play, Goc has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Roy shoots left. Goc is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Roy
Goc
Home
52.4% (683)
54.7% (468)
Away
48.6% (646)
48.8% (510)
By Period
Roy
Goc
P1
48.3%
48.9%
P2
49.5%
53.0%
P3
53.9%
52.4%
OT
48.4%
60.9%
Final 5 min
50.0%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 19:43 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 09:45 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Derek Roy |