Scouting Report
Marcel Goc holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (91% H2H, 11 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Goc shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Goc 52.3% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 15-9 in 24 meetings
Offensive zone
Goc 50.6%
Defensive zone
Goc 88.3%
Neutral zone
Goc 75.0%
Result
Marcel Goc favored at 68.2%
31.8%
68.2%
Roy
Goc
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
9
(24 meetings)
15
9
Roy
Goc
Last 10: Roy 7-3 Goc
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
10
1
Roy
Goc
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Goc
2
6
Roy
Goc
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
2
Roy
Goc
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Goc
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
53.0% (3,301)
-6.6%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
58.0% (314)
-4.4%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
47.4% (728)
-0.6%
On even strength, Goc has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Goc shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Goc is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (2,768).
Home / Away
Roy
Goc
Home
49.5% (1,982)
53.9% (2,079)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
51.0% (2,296)
By Period
Roy
Goc
P1
47.6%
51.9%
P2
46.2%
53.1%
P3
48.5%
52.4%
OT
43.1%
44.9%
Final 5 min
47.0%
53.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Goc
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2013 | 2 | 18:58 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 18:05 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 3 | 16:28 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 2 | 12:48 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 5, 2013 | 1 | 13:39 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 3 | 19:33 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 2 | 03:42 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 09:59 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 17, 2012 | 1 | 07:08 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 10:08 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 00:39 | Offensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 18:40 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 03:12 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 16:28 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 07:48 | Defensive | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 3 | 01:08 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 00:06 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |
| Oct 20, 2011 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marcel Goc |