Scouting Report
Mark Arcobello holds a +3.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Arcobello on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Arcobello 50.9% (-3.5%)
H2H factor
Arcobello leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 59.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 61.2%
Neutral zone
Roy 60.2%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 59.8%
59.8%
40.2%
Roy
Arcobello
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Roy
Arcobello
Last 10: Roy 3-7 Arcobello
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Arcobello
1
4
Roy
Arcobello
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Roy
Arcobello
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Arcobello
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
50.6% (1,408)
-4.2%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
60.8% (130)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
36.8% (57)
+10.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Arcobello shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Arcobello is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (1,067).
Home / Away
Roy
Arcobello
Home
49.5% (1,982)
53.2% (745)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
48.9% (850)
By Period
Roy
Arcobello
P1
47.6%
53.2%
P2
46.2%
51.3%
P3
48.5%
48.4%
OT
43.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Arcobello
58.0%▲
56.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2014 | 2 | 10:58 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 16:54 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Nov 11, 2014 | 1 | 02:16 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:49 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Oct 29, 2014 | 2 | 01:40 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 7, 2014 | 2 | 01:36 | Neutral | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 2 | 18:44 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 10:11 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 07:04 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 6, 2013 | 1 | 00:50 | Offensive | Mark Arcobello |