Scouting Report
Derek Roy holds a +5.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Santorelli 46.2% (+5.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 68.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 89.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 73.7%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 79.8%
79.8%
20.2%
Roy
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Roy
Santorelli
Last 7: Roy 5-2 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
0
Roy
Santorelli
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Santorelli
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Santorelli
1
2
Roy
Santorelli
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
45.1% (348)
+5.2%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
42.4% (33)
+10.9%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
0.0% (3)
+51.1%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +51.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Roy is 51.0% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Roy shoots left. Santorelli is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (253).
Home / Away
Roy
Santorelli
Home
52.4% (683)
49.5% (188)
Away
48.6% (646)
41.3% (201)
By Period
Roy
Santorelli
P1
48.3%
48.8%
P2
49.5%
40.7%
P3
53.9%
47.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2011 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Derek Roy |