Scouting Report
Mike Santorelli holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Santorelli 49.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 51.4%
Defensive zone
Santorelli 52.6%
Neutral zone
Santorelli 56.8%
Result
Mike Santorelli favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Roy
Santorelli
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
4
(15 meetings)
11
4
Roy
Santorelli
Last 10: Roy 7-3 Santorelli
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
0
Roy
Santorelli
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Santorelli
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Roy
Santorelli
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Santorelli
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
48.4% (1,835)
-2.0%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
56.0% (298)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
48.5% (132)
-1.7%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Santorelli shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Santorelli is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (1,556).
Home / Away
Roy
Santorelli
Home
49.5% (1,982)
50.4% (1,079)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
48.5% (1,199)
By Period
Roy
Santorelli
P1
47.6%
51.0%
P2
46.2%
49.7%
P3
48.5%
47.6%
OT
43.1%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Santorelli
40.0%▼
46.5%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 09:33 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 12:36 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 2 | 12:27 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 25, 2013 | 1 | 03:57 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 3 | 16:24 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 9, 2011 | 2 | 07:58 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 06:48 | Neutral | Mike Santorelli |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 29, 2011 | 1 | 04:52 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 3 | 19:07 | Defensive | Mike Santorelli |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 3 | 07:26 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 17, 2010 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Derek Roy |