Scouting Report
Mikhail Grabovski holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Roy wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Grabovski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.0% vs Grabovski 48.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roy 54.0%
Defensive zone
Grabovski 51.5%
Neutral zone
Grabovski 51.0%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
Roy
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Roy
Grabovski
Last 6: Roy 2-4 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Grabovski
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
2
Roy
Grabovski
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (380)
47.8% (992)
-3.9%
Power Play
52.8% (106)
51.4% (222)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
42.9% (77)
+12.4%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +12.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Roy is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Roy shoots left. Grabovski is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (864).
Home / Away
Roy
Grabovski
Home
51.6% (283)
50.0% (658)
Away
40.4% (245)
46.9% (668)
By Period
Roy
Grabovski
P1
47.8%
49.3%
P2
41.1%
47.2%
P3
49.7%
48.4%
OT
41.7%
54.5%
Final 5 min
42.4%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 6, 2010 | OT | 01:58 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |