Scouting Report
Mikhail Grabovski holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Grabovski on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Grabovski shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Grabovski 50.2% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Grabovski leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 55.2%
Defensive zone
Roy 51.6%
Neutral zone
Roy 51.8%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Roy
Grabovski
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
12
(19 meetings)
7
12
Roy
Grabovski
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Grabovski
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Roy
Grabovski
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grabovski
0
4
Roy
Grabovski
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grabovski
4
5
Roy
Grabovski
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Grabovski
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
50.0% (3,443)
-3.6%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
52.1% (459)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
45.2% (104)
+1.6%
On even strength, Grabovski has a +3.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grabovski shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Grabovski is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,613).
Home / Away
Roy
Grabovski
Home
49.5% (1,982)
51.0% (2,090)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
49.3% (1,966)
By Period
Roy
Grabovski
P1
47.6%
50.0%
P2
46.2%
49.9%
P3
48.5%
50.6%
OT
43.1%
53.3%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Grabovski
42.0%▼
44.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 12:47 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 1 | 13:12 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 3 | 03:17 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 31, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Jan 13, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 3 | 01:07 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 11:26 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 22, 2011 | 1 | 06:37 | Neutral | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Dec 16, 2011 | 2 | 01:49 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 19:01 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 15:07 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 26, 2010 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 6, 2010 | OT | 01:58 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 17:21 | Defensive | Mikhail Grabovski |
| Nov 6, 2010 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Mikhail Grabovski |