Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 50.5% vs Koivu 52.1% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 53.8%
Defensive zone
Roy 62.8%
Neutral zone
Roy 50.1%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 57.3%
57.3%
42.7%
Roy
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Roy
Koivu
Last 10: Roy 7-3 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
3
0
Roy
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
2
Roy
Koivu
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Roy
Koivu
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (1,010)
52.5% (802)
-2.2%
Power Play
53.3% (169)
52.0% (198)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
51.1% (133)
49.5% (105)
+1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Roy is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (872).
Roy shoots left. Koivu is 53.1% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Roy
Koivu
Home
52.4% (683)
54.6% (584)
Away
48.6% (646)
49.7% (539)
By Period
Roy
Koivu
P1
48.3%
50.7%
P2
49.5%
51.1%
P3
53.9%
54.4%
OT
48.4%
57.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
50.6%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
52.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 16:18 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 14:19 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 14:03 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 12:13 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 15:56 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 12:44 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 03:35 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |