Scouting Report
Mikko Koivu holds a +6.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on defensive-zone draws (65% H2H, 17 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Koivu 54.0% (-6.7%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 25-21 in 46 meetings
Offensive zone
Koivu 58.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 77.4%
Neutral zone
Koivu 73.4%
Result
Mikko Koivu favored at 70.3%
29.7%
70.3%
Roy
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
25
-
21
(46 meetings)
25
21
Roy
Koivu
Last 10: Roy 4-6 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
7
7
Roy
Koivu
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
11
6
Roy
Koivu
17 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
7
8
Roy
Koivu
15 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
54.0% (9,465)
-7.6%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
58.6% (2,100)
-5.0%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
48.9% (1,688)
-2.1%
On even strength, Koivu has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Roy
Koivu
Home
49.5% (1,982)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Roy
Koivu
P1
47.6%
53.5%
P2
46.2%
54.6%
P3
48.5%
54.0%
OT
43.1%
56.5%
Final 5 min
47.0%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2015 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 10:45 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 02:43 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 24, 2015 | 1 | 15:46 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 3 | 00:23 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 2 | 14:52 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 20, 2015 | 1 | 18:13 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 27, 2015 | 1 | 04:58 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 20, 2014 | 2 | 11:52 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 2 | 04:25 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 31, 2013 | 1 | 03:29 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 12:18 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 06:49 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 29, 2013 | 3 | 06:39 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 25, 2013 | 2 | 09:33 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |