Scouting Report
Nicklas Backstrom holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Roy wins 46.8% vs left-shot opponents — Backstrom shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Backstrom 50.5% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Roy leads 12-9 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Backstrom 58.5%
Defensive zone
Backstrom 58.6%
Neutral zone
Backstrom 65.4%
Result
Nicklas Backstrom favored at 60.5%
39.5%
60.5%
Roy
Backstrom
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
9
(21 meetings)
12
9
Roy
Backstrom
Last 10: Roy 5-5 Backstrom
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Roy
Backstrom
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
4
Roy
Backstrom
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
4
2
Roy
Backstrom
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Backstrom
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
50.4% (11,581)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
52.3% (1,895)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
47.0% (889)
-0.2%
On even strength, Backstrom has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Backstrom shoots left. Roy is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,462).
Roy shoots left. Backstrom is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (8,966).
Home / Away
Roy
Backstrom
Home
49.5% (1,982)
52.6% (7,223)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
48.4% (7,173)
By Period
Roy
Backstrom
P1
47.6%
50.1%
P2
46.2%
49.7%
P3
48.5%
51.6%
OT
43.1%
52.9%
Final 5 min
47.0%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Backstrom
50.0%▲
48.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2015 | 3 | 00:55 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 2 | 03:57 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 17:34 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Jan 20, 2015 | 1 | 09:21 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 17:06 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 8, 2014 | 2 | 15:55 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 08:15 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 3 | 04:50 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Nov 17, 2013 | 2 | 15:26 | Defensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 2 | 18:40 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 30, 2011 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 15:12 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 3 | 00:57 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 2 | 08:53 | Offensive | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Dec 26, 2011 | 1 | 05:04 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 12:00 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 26, 2011 | 2 | 06:39 | Neutral | Nicklas Backstrom |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 18:39 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Nov 17, 2010 | 2 | 04:27 | Neutral | Derek Roy |