Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +15.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Roy wins 46.4% vs right-shot opponents — Bergeron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 45.3% vs Bergeron 59.7% (-15.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bergeron 62.0%
Defensive zone
Bergeron 87.5%
Neutral zone
Bergeron 83.6%
Result
Patrice Bergeron favored at 70.1%
29.9%
70.1%
Roy
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Roy
Bergeron
Last 9: Roy 6-3 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
5
1
Roy
Bergeron
6 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Roy
Bergeron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
0
1
Roy
Bergeron
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
44.8% (784)
60.5% (1,394)
-15.7%
Power Play
45.0% (111)
64.0% (300)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (14)
53.7% (255)
-10.8%
On power play, Bergeron has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Roy is 46.4% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Roy shoots left. Bergeron is 60.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,235).
Home / Away
Roy
Bergeron
Home
45.8% (421)
62.0% (949)
Away
43.9% (488)
58.6% (1,002)
By Period
Roy
Bergeron
P1
44.9%
59.2%
P2
43.6%
63.9%
P3
46.4%
57.0%
OT
35.3%
68.6%
Final 5 min
49.1%
59.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
44.8%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
60.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |