Scouting Report
Patrice Bergeron holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Bergeron on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 22 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Bergeron 59.2% (-11.8%)
H2H factor
Bergeron leads 42-32 in 74 meetings
Offensive zone
Roy 88.7%
Defensive zone
Roy 92.7%
Neutral zone
Roy 92.7%
Result
Derek Roy favored at 91.4%
91.4%
8.6%
Roy
Bergeron
Head-to-Head Record
32
-
42
(74 meetings)
32
42
Roy
Bergeron
Last 10: Roy 6-4 Bergeron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
15
9
Roy
Bergeron
24 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bergeron
11
17
Roy
Bergeron
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Bergeron
6
16
Roy
Bergeron
22 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Bergeron
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
60.1% (13,938)
-13.7%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
60.8% (3,213)
-7.2%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
53.0% (2,776)
-6.2%
On even strength, Bergeron has a +13.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bergeron shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Bergeron is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (13,273).
Home / Away
Roy
Bergeron
Home
49.5% (1,982)
61.2% (10,028)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
57.3% (9,930)
By Period
Roy
Bergeron
P1
47.6%
59.3%
P2
46.2%
60.0%
P3
48.5%
58.6%
OT
43.1%
57.9%
Final 5 min
47.0%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Bergeron
76.0%▲
64.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 16:47 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 16:39 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 11:40 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 02:52 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:12 | Offensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 08:59 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Feb 18, 2015 | 1 | 06:18 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Feb 6, 2014 | 2 | 05:56 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Nov 21, 2013 | 1 | 12:41 | Offensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 19:13 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 09:07 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 3 | 09:00 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 18:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 10:44 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 10:27 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 10:13 | Defensive | Patrice Bergeron |
| Apr 7, 2012 | 2 | 03:15 | Neutral | Patrice Bergeron |