Scouting Report
Patrick Sharp holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.0% vs Sharp 48.4% (-1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 54.9%
Defensive zone
Roy 53.5%
Neutral zone
Sharp 58.7%
Result
Patrick Sharp favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Roy
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Roy
Sharp
Last 8: Roy 5-3 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
2
Roy
Sharp
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Sharp
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Sharp
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
43.9% (380)
48.4% (442)
-4.5%
Power Play
52.8% (106)
45.7% (35)
+7.1%
Penalty Kill
55.3% (38)
43.3% (30)
+12.0%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Roy is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Roy shoots left. Sharp is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (391).
Home / Away
Roy
Sharp
Home
51.6% (283)
51.2% (242)
Away
40.4% (245)
45.1% (266)
By Period
Roy
Sharp
P1
47.8%
49.7%
P2
41.1%
46.5%
P3
49.7%
47.9%
OT
41.7%
44.4%
Final 5 min
42.4%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
46.4%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |