Scouting Report
Patrick Sharp holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Roy on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roy 47.4% vs Sharp 50.1% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sharp 82.4%
Defensive zone
Roy 73.6%
Neutral zone
Sharp 63.4%
Result
Patrick Sharp favored at 58.9%
41.1%
58.9%
Roy
Sharp
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Roy
Sharp
Last 8: Roy 5-3 Sharp
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sharp
0
2
Roy
Sharp
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Roy
2
0
Roy
Sharp
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Roy
3
1
Roy
Sharp
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roy
Sharp
Edge
Even Strength
46.4% (3,031)
50.4% (1,085)
-4.0%
Power Play
53.6% (560)
50.6% (180)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (267)
40.9% (44)
+5.9%
On penalty kill, Roy has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sharp shoots right. Roy is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Roy shoots left. Sharp is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (947).
Home / Away
Roy
Sharp
Home
49.5% (1,982)
53.2% (688)
Away
45.1% (1,897)
46.7% (623)
By Period
Roy
Sharp
P1
47.6%
48.0%
P2
46.2%
49.1%
P3
48.5%
51.7%
OT
43.1%
62.2%
Final 5 min
47.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roy
72.0%▲
47.0%
47.4%
Sharp
60.0%▲
52.5%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 08:07 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 3 | 00:35 | Neutral | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 16, 2010 | 1 | 11:59 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Patrick Sharp |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 19:27 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 18:14 | Neutral | Derek Roy |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 02:32 | Defensive | Derek Roy |
| Oct 11, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Roy |